Before you read: Prices, levels, percentages, calendar rows, and news-style details below are illustrative examples for learning how traders write weekly notes. They are not verified snapshots of live markets. Confirm figures on your charts and official sources (Federal Reserve, BLS, ECB, national statistics offices, exchange economic calendars) before acting.
Rates — Front End Leads Risk Appetite
Illustrative teaching frame: when 2Y yields drift higher without a bullish growth story, equities can treat it as discount-rate pressure. Log yield change from the open on red index days—causality is messy, but your journal will show what your book actually correlated with.
Copper — “Pulse” Without a Story
Copper is often used as a cyclical pulse check. Illustrative range example:
- HG example band $4.35 – $4.75 / lb until a weekly close outside (verify on feed)
Tag whether you used copper as confirmation or as the trade—the statistics differ.
Oil — Range Discipline > Headlines
Illustrative WTI chop bucket (examples only):
- $68 – $74 with time stops if volatility collapses—many journals show overtrading inside tight ranges.
Gold — Real Yields Simplified Row
Each week add: gold weekly close, 10Y real yield proxy direction, DXY direction. After four weeks you will see whether your gold trades actually matched your macro thesis.
One-Line Macro Regime Tag
Pick one tag for the week: soft landing, no landing, policy error fear, geopolitical hedge—then tag trades that contradicted your macro label; those rows teach fast.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Commodities and macro trading carry significant risks. This is not financial advice.