Performance Metrics

Average Winner / Average Loser

Average winner is the mean profit of all winning trades; average loser is the mean loss of all losing trades. Their ratio, alongside win rate, determines overall expectancy.

Formula

Expectancy = (Win Rate × Avg Winner) − (Loss Rate × Avg Loser)

Why it matters for traders

Many traders focus on win rate alone, ignoring whether winners are larger than losers. Average winner and loser together reveal whether your risk-reward is sustainable. A strategy with 70% win rate but average winner half the size of average loser has negative expectancy.

How Tradapt tracks this

Tradapt shows average winner and average loser in Analytics. A declining average winner relative to average loser is an early warning sign of deteriorating edge quality.

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Frequently asked questions

What ratio of average winner to average loser is needed to be profitable?

If your win rate is 50%, your average winner must be larger than your average loser to profit. At 40% win rate, your average winner must be 1.5x your average loser. The exact minimum ratio depends on your win rate.

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