What is win rate in trading?

Win rate is the percentage of trades that are profitable. If you make 100 trades and 55 win, your win rate is 55%. Win rate alone does not determine profitability — it must be considered alongside your average win versus average loss (risk-reward ratio).

What is the break-even win rate?

The break-even win rate is the minimum winning percentage required to avoid losing money. It is calculated as: 1 / (1 + Risk-Reward Ratio). At 1:2 R:R, the break-even win rate is 1/(1+2) = 33.3%.

Can you be profitable with a 40% win rate?

Yes. A 40% win rate is highly profitable if your average winner is significantly larger than your average loser. At a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, the break-even win rate is only 25%, so a 40% win rate would be very profitable.

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Win Rate Calculator

Calculate your trading win rate, break-even threshold, and per-trade expectancy to know if your system is profitable.

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Win rate is only half the story

Many traders fixate on win rate, but it's your expectancy that determines long-term profitability. You can lose 70% of trades and still be highly profitable if your winners are 4x the size of your losers.

Formula: Expectancy = (Win Rate × Avg Win) − (Loss Rate × Avg Loss)

A positive expectancy means that, on average, each trade moves your account forward. Tradapt calculates this automatically across all your trades so you always know your true edge.

Tradapt automatically tracks win rate, expectancy, and R-multiple for every trade.

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Risk-Reward Calculator

Calculate R:R before entering trades.

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R-Multiple Calculator

Measure every trade outcome in units of initial risk.

Glossary

Expectancy

The average outcome per trade across a large sample.